A lot less.

LOL

 

 

 

 

Conservative Intel is excited to announce we have partnered with Pat Cross Cartoons!

Pat loves drawing, America, and the Big Man upstairs. His work aims to combine these three elements into a petri dish and see what happens. We hope you will find his work thought-provoking, insightful, profound and maybe, just maybe, a bit humorous.

We encourage you to visit his website and like his Facebook page!

Trump Wants A Man On The Moon During His Presidency

President Trump has high hopes for a successful manned space trip to Mars during his time as POTUS. NASA astronaut Peggy Whitson shared a video chat with the President where he asked Whitson for her guess on when an endeavor to Mars would be feasible. Whitson estimated that a space journey of such distance could possibly be executed in the 2030s. President Trump wants to move up that timeline.

The Washington Examiner reports, “We want to try and do it during my first term or at worst during my second term,” Trump said, “so we’re going to have to speed that up a little, OK?”

Whitson was speaking with Trump via video conference to celebrate breaking the record for longest continuous time in space. Whitson has been in space for 534 days.

Trump questioned Whitson about the technology she’s using in space and what her mission has been like. At one point, he got a few laughs when Whitson told him the astronauts in the International Space Station have been drinking their own urine — after filtering and purifying it — and she said it wasn’t that bad.

“That’s good, I’m glad to hear that,” he said. “Better you than me.”

Watch the video conference here:

WATCH: Poll Shows 96% Of Trump Voters Would Remain Loyal

Trump supporters across the country stand by their votes. In a poll provided by ABC News and The Washington Post, 96% of Americans that voted for Donald Trump would do so again if the opportunity presented itself. Watch the clip from Fox News below:

DNC to Pro-life Dems: Drop Dead

The Briefing, Vol. V, Issue 17 – This week:

  • DNC Chair announces a purge of pro-lifers
  • Republicans live to fight June 20 in Georgia race
  • Chaffetz departure might take still more pressure off Hatch

Pro-life Democrats: Yes, yes, you might think they are already unicorns, but there actually are a few pro-life Democratic officeholders and a lot more pro-life voters who still haven’t left the Democratic Party.

Well, DNC Chairman Tom Perez wants them gone. He has officially promised that the DNC will not support candidates who oppose abortion. This doesn’t just put mostly pro-life Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., in a pickle. It doesn’t just put the screws to Democrats who pretend to be pro-life, like Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., who is also up for re-election in 2018. It also jeopardizes a small but real segment of the party’s voter base. And this segment heavily overlaps the white ethnic working-class demographic that Democrats have paid lip service to winning back after the 2016 election.

Perez’s action is highly unusual, and reflects the overriding influence of the abortion industry in the Democratic Party. Party chairmen — Republican and Democratic — typically avoid such pronouncements. They don’t set the ideological tone of their parties. They stick as closely as possible to attacking the party opposite and boosting their team, which means avoiding exclusionary ideological statements about their own. They are functionaries — party-builders, fundraisers, organizers. If they are involved in their parties’ platforms, it is usually to prevent anything too crazy or divisive being inserted into them.

Perez’s statement can only harm the breadth of his party’s support. You might think it would help juice up his base in the short run, but the Democratic Party’s support for abortion on demand and without apology is already so universal — even among its moderates — that it probably won’t even accomplish much in this regard. Left-wingers are used to hearing moderates they dislike use the abortion issue as a unifying message.

It also doesn’t help that Perez’s comment comes after blowback from Perez and Bernie Sanders supporting a Democrat for Omaha mayor who had failed to vote the party line on abortion. Democrats may come to regret this knee-jerk reaction to criticism from the abortion industry.

House 2017

Georgia-6: Last Tuesday, a well-funded and much-hyped Democratic candidate fell short in winning the House seat vacated by Tom Price to become President Trump’s secretary of Health and Human Services.

Although he easily outperformed opinion polls showing him between 39 and 45 percent, Democrat Jon Ossoff’s 48.1 percent showing was nonetheless about 3,700 votes shy of the 50 percent he needed to win the seat. The contest goes to a runoff between Ossoff and the second finisher, Republican former Secretary of State Karen Handel.

Here are a few thoughts about the contest just ended, and the coming runoff that takes place June 20:

  1. Handel finished with only 19.8 percent. All of the the Republican candidates combined for a total of just over 51 percent. This is probably good news for the GOP, although it certainly cuts it close. Ossoff did not fail because other Democrats split the vote — indeed, none of them even came close to winning one percent.
  2. One major advantage Ossoff had in the April race, which he won’t enjoy in the June runoff, is having $8.3 million to spend on largely uncontested television ads. This and all of the national media attention were key to his relatively strong performance last Tuesday. Not only are Ossoff’s resources likely to be limited to a more realistic amount for a House seat after a disappointing loss, but his Republican opponent will enjoy a prominence one cannot achieve in a field with 12 different Republican candidates.
  3. For that reason, the April 18 jungle primary probably represented a better chance for Ossoff to win the seat than the runoff will. However, this could change if President Trump’s popularity tumbles further (it’s low right now, but actually still about where it was when he was elected), or if House Republicans’ image worsens significantly through another debacle like the failure of the health care bill.
  4. Still, it’s worth pointing out that Republicans aren’t looking nearly as bad nationally as the conventional wisdom would suggest. Buried at the very end of the results from the Politico/Morning Consult poll taken for the occasion of President Trump’s first 100 days: Republicans and Democrats are tied at 40-40 on the generic ballot for House. Historically, a tie on the generic ballot hints at Republican victory. Not to say that’s the likely outcome in 2018 — after all, it will be Trump’s first midterm — but that number does suggest that the recent special election outcomes have been driven more by the low-turnout nature of these contests and greater Democratic enthusiasm, rather than just some kind
  5. There is another fact in here about Georgia’s Sixth, perhaps a bit inconvenient for everyone going forward. It got very little play, but the district might actually be quite a bit less Republican than people have assumed. Yes, people point to Tom Price’s 60- and 65-point victories since the district was first created in its current form for the 2012 election. But in 2016, at least, Price ran against someone whose very existence the local media doubted in 2016. No, really — they could find no evidence that Rodney Stooksbury was a real person. Probably he is, but the point is that a candidate with no campaign appearances, no photograph of himself, no website, no yard signs, no bumper stickers, etc. etc., is going to underperform what a Democrat could potentially get in Georgia’s Sixth District. In 2014, Price’s opponent spent about $4,000 on his campaign.
    The point here is simply that Republicans should not be too overconfident about the district’s Republican lean going forward to the June runoff. By the same token, Democrats should be perhaps a bit less impressed that Ossoff did as well as he did, given the resource advantage he enjoyed. The seat clearly does have a Republican lean, given that Mitt Romney got 61 percent there in 2012 . But it has certainly changed in the last five years, as Georgia as a whole gradually becomes more competitive for Democrats.

Moving forward, Handel benefits from being the sole Republican in the field, rather than one of twelve Republicans who bitterly attacked one another. She will likely also have parity in resources for the June race. But Ossoff did win 48 percent in round one. If he had won 39 percent, then he could be written off. As matters stand, he is very much a contender.

Senate 2018

North Dakota: Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D, is pretty much the only game in town for her state’s Democratic party. Or so everyone thinks. She probably has little to fear from a left-wing primary challenger.

But she has indeed drawn such a challenge from Dustin Peyer, a progressive firefighter and Democratic district chairman. This race will probably come to nothing, but there are a couple of interesting storylines in play if it becomes a bigger deal. Peyer said in a radio interview that he hopes the reorganization of the state party, in bringing new blood to the party leadership, will help him gain support in the state convention next spring, ahead of the June 2018 primary. If it becomes anything more than a joke, this race could become a measurement of just how angry Democrats in Red states are about the Trump presidency and with Democrats who have been too friendly toward it.

Utah: The sudden announcement that Rep. Jason Chaffetz, R, will not run for re-election — and may in fact resign his seat at any time — has also rescrambled the Senate race for the seat held by Sen. Orrin Hatch. Not only does this completely rule out Chaffetz as a potential primary opponent for Hatch, but it also makes Evan McMullin far more likely to run for Chaffetz’s seat instead of Hatch’s.

The idea of an eighth term for Hatch is not especially popular, even if he’s a lock against any Democrat. A mostly useless poll of a general election with McMullin running as an independent showed him with a small lead over Hatch in a three-way race, just demonstrating Hatch’s lack of appeal.

But if neither Jon Huntsman (soon to be Trump’s ambassador to Russia) nor McMullin ends up making a run at Hatch because of Chaffetz’s decision, it’s hard to see who does. Hatch has already said he would step aside if Mitt Romney ran for his seat, and Romney has said he would not challenge Hatch in a primary. So for the moment, unless someone unexpectedly steps forward,  it seems likely that Hatch will either stay in or quit on his own terms.

Rhetorical Question

This cartoon’s a riot!

 

 

 

 

Conservative Intel is excited to announce we have partnered with Pat Cross Cartoons!

Pat loves drawing, America, and the Big Man upstairs. His work aims to combine these three elements into a petri dish and see what happens. We hope you will find his work thought-provoking, insightful, profound and maybe, just maybe, a bit humorous.

We encourage you to visit his website and like his Facebook page!

A warning shot at the Republicans

The Briefing, Vol. V, Issue 16 – This week:

  • Weak special election win jolts Republicans to action
  • Enthusiasm gap heavily favors Democrats
  • Georgia race could boost — or devastate — high Democratic hopes

A very happy Easter to all of our readers.

House 2017

This week, we look in on three House special elections that could well set the tone for the rest of Trump’s first year.

The first one just took place in Kansas. It was a Republican victory, but a close enough one that it demonstrates the party’s current weakness.

A loss in either of the next two special elections could be devastating for Republicans in Washington as they seek to carry out their legislative agenda. This is not so much because of the loss of a seat or two (although that doesn’t help), but because it is always harder to pass legislation when the signs suggest your party has lost the public’s confidence.

Kansas-4: Republicans got a warning shot across their bow in Kansas last Tuesday. It was a shot they would do well to take seriously, and there are signs already in other races that they are doing just that.

Yes, Republican state Treasurer Ron Estes won the race by about seven points, keeping the former House seat of CIA Director Mike Pompeo on the GOP side of the ledger. But Republicans cannot exactly rest easy with a victory as weak as this one was.

Assume, for the sake of argument, that the race was not made close by large numbers of Republicans crossing over to vote for Democrat James Thompson — because that would be an even worse sign for Republican prospects, proving the point even more emphatically.

Assume, instead, that this was a simple matter of turning out the party’s regular voters. In that respect, Republicans significantly underperformed their opponents, to a degree that would be dangerous if it were to go down the same way in other places.

A drop-off in turnout is to be expected in any special election, but the drop-off in this race was not evenly distributed. Republicans in Kansas’ Fourth District brought out for Estes just under 40 percent of the number of voters who had backed Pompeo in 2016, whereas Democrats brought out more than 70 percent of the number that had backed his opponent.

Here’s a thought experiment to quantify just how bad that is: If exactly the same turnout drop-off from the 2016 result were applied to all 435 congressional districts, Democrats would win a 314-seat House majority — well over two-thirds of the chamber.

Obviously that isn’t going to happen, and there are local factors (such as Republican Gov. Sam Brownback’s unpopularity) that may separate this special election from others that are coming up. But the point is simply to put some numbers to the idea that the enthusiasm gap heavily favors Democrats, such that Republicans can expect to struggle mightily and spend big money just to hold on to seats that they would normally take for granted. If at any point they lose a seat they are supposed to hold, it will be a moment when the Left smells blood in the water, and a sign of bad things to come in the 2018 midterm.

To be sure, the enthusiasm gap matters far more than usual in low-turnout special elections. But several of these are coming up soon — in Georgia on Tuesday, in Montana next month, and (with the nomination of Rep. Tom Marino to the Trump administration) in northwest Pennsylvania later this year.

An aside: Swing in this Kansas race is still not nearly as dramatic as the one that characterized the January 2010 Massachusetts Senate special election. Recall that that race presaged the Republican wave election ten months later. In that race, the Democratic vote for Martha Coakley dropped off by nearly 50 percent from John Kerry’s statewide performance in 2008, whereas Republican Scott Brown won more votes than Republican candidates usually get in midterm or presidential years. But in that race, the role of a substantial number of Democratic voters supporting Brown cannot be realistically ignored.

Georgia-6: The Kansas race serves as a reminder that Republicans have a lot of work to do just to hold their ground. As evidence, both the NRCC and Speaker Paul Ryan’s Congressional Leadership Fund are spending significant sums in Georgia’s Sixth District, all to hold on to a seat that no Democrat has held since it was created in a Democratic gerrymander as a GOP vote sink after the 1990 Census.

Republicans still hold forth hope that they can keep Democrat Jon Ossoff below the 50 percent threshold that would allow him to win the district outright. An outright win in the first round over a fractured 18-candidate field might be Ossoff’s best chance at reaching Congress, with the caveat that the Republican brand could suffer even more damage by the time the runoff occurs June 20.

Recent polling suggests that Ossoff is running somewhere between 39 and 45 percent. If he hits the low end of that range after all the hype, the $8 million he has raised, and the massive support he has received from left-wing groups like MoveOn.org and Planned Parenthood, one cannot like his chances in the June runoff. If, on the other hand, he hits the high end of that range or better, his chances in a runoff are very realistic and perhaps better than even.

There are already signs that Republicans may have gotten their act together in Georgia-6. In the last few days of the early vote, Republican voters (that is, voters who have previously voted in Republican primaries) caught up and nearly equalized with Democratic voters, after having trailed badly earlier on. As in most states, Democrats tend to overperform in early voting, whereas Republicans do so in the votes actually cast on election day.

Still, the clear sign of Democratic enthusiasm is that Democrats have cast more early and absentee votes than they did in the 2014 midterm, in which Republican Rep. Tom Price won with 66 percent. Republicans don’t need to win by such a margin (nor will they), but Republican voters have cast far fewer early votes than they did in that general election contest.

Moreover, the Republicans’ strong performance in late early voting comes with the caveat that no one knows for sure how anyone voted. If discontent with Republican rule in the Trump era is widely felt, Ossoff could be doing better than the figures suggest, perhaps even gaining a winning advantage in the early vote.

With all this about Democratic enthusiasm, it’s worth adding one other point. Amid raging anger over Trump’s election within their base, the pressure is on Democrats to capitalize on it and win something tangible. So far, no special election worthy of note has gone their way, despite abundant evidence in nearly every race of an enthusiasm gap in their favor.

Already, there is some (not entirely justified) fury among left-wingers that the DCCC did not do more for Thompson in Kansas because was a Bernie Sanders sympathizer. (As if the party committee could have overcome a seven-point margin in a heavily Republican district.)

The Democratic base’s expectations are currently quite high — perhaps too high — in this Georgia race, and Democratic morale could be dashed if Ossoff falls flat. The more losses, the more recriminations there will be.

Assuming Republicans do force the runoff against Ossoff, which seems likely, Karen Handel is the Republican candidate most likely to qualify for it — Bob Gray, the candidate backed by the Club for Growth, is the other one with a reasonable shot. For now, the Republicans’ voices are hard for voters to hear over the din of an 18-candidate jungle primary, and that’s a challenge that Ossoff, as the nationally ordained Democratic savior, does not face. But this factor will be more even in a runoff campaign, and the Republican Party apparatus will be in a position to campaign for someone instead of merely against Ossoff.

Montana-At Large: The race to replace former Rep. Ryan Zinke, R, takes place May 25. Republicans may have been fortunate to draw an opponent (Robert Quist) who has previously advocated gun registration in a state where gun rights are sacrosanct. But they’re already dumping money into this House special election, taking no chances and making sure everyone is aware of it.

The NRCC poured in more than a quarter-million dollars last week against Quist, and the NRA an additional $160,000. Last month, Paul Ryan’s SuperPAC tossed in an astounding $700,000, apparently just to discourage any Democratic involvement. Spending on the Democratic side was more limited, with Planned Parenthood kicking in just a few thousand for canvassing and phone banking.

Republicans won’t be lacking for resources in this race, as their candidate, businessman and 2016 gubernatorial nominee Greg Gianforte, has great personal wealth and is willing to spend it.

RNC Chairwoman to Attend 10th Congressional District GOP Reagan Dinner; 10th Congressional District GOP Chairman Might Run for Michigan Secretary of State

The 10th Congressional District GOP Reagan Dinner will be held May 25th, 2017 at Shelby Gardens in Macomb County. RNC Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel has been confirmed as the keynote guest speaker for the event.

McDaniel previously served as the Michigan Republican Party Chairwoman. She led the GOP to victory in the state of Michigan, retaining control of the state House, and voters backing a Republican for president for the first time since 1988.

McDaniel was outspoken in her support for President Trump early on. She was an at-large delegate for Donald Trump at the Republican National Convention and vowed to support the will of Michigan voters, who chose Trump overwhelmingly at the polls in the Michigan primary. McDaniel also urged her fellow Michigan GOP delegates to support the Republican nominee amid the “Never Trump” movement.

McDaniel went on to lead a successful field operation in Michigan that encompassed thousands of enthusiastic grassroots activists. She is credited by many, including President Trump as one of the main reasons Michigan voted for a Republican at the top of the ticket for the first time in decades.

“Ronna has been extremely loyal to our movement and her efforts were critical to our tremendous victory in Michigan, and I know she will bring the same passion to the Republican National Committee.” – Donald J. Trump

McDaniel will now return to Macomb County where she spoke before a Donald Trump rally at Freedom Hill Amphitheater on November 6th, just two days prior to the election. Macomb County has been characterized as the perfect example of the Trump movement taking hold across the United States. A working-class area that typically votes Democrat, known for its large population of auto workers and having a strong union base. Counties similar to Macomb across the Midwest in states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin were key to Trump’s success.

The organizer of the 10th Congressional District GOP Reagan Dinner is Shelby Township Clerk, Stan Grot. Grot is a past Chairman of the Macomb County Republican Party, and currently serves as the 10th Congressional District GOP Chairman.

Grot’s enthusiasm and hard work as a grassroots organizer is unparalleled. He recruited over 600 candidates for Precinct Delegate in Southeast Michigan this election cycle. His efforts in building a grassroots army were crucial in the Macomb County Trump phenomenon. In early October, he joined his fellow Republican Congressional District Chairs, National Republican Committeemen, and the Chair and Co-Chair of the Michigan GOP in writing a letter to Michigan voters titled “A Divided Nation or United States, the Choice is Clear in November.” The letter painted Hillary Clinton as the voice of division, and urged voters to come together and work to support Republican candidates from the local and state level, to the Republican nominee Donald Trump.

Although no formal announcement has been made, there is talk that the 10th District GOP Chairman could be making a bid for Secretary of State in 2018. The rumor is being spread by grassroots conservatives encouraging Grot to enter the race because of a six point voter integrity plan he’s called for. The plan would:

  • Require citizenship documentation for new voter registration
  • Implement mandatory photo I.D. before voting
  • Purge voters registered in multiple states
  • Increase oversight of Detroit public accuracy test
  • Utilize social security database to remove deceased voters
  • Audit cities and townships that lack competency to conduct elections

Previously, Grot served as the Assistant Secretary of State under Candice Miller. If he were to run, inviting the RNC Chairwoman back to Macomb County could be part of his strategy to reinvigorate Trump supporters and turn them out in 2018.

Details of the event are as follow:
10th Congressional District GOP Ronald Reagan Dinner
Thursday, May 25, 2017
6:30pm Cocktail Hour; 7:00pm Dinner
Shelby Gardens
50265 Van Dyke Avenue
Shelby Township, MI 48317
Cost: $65 per person
Please RSVP by Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Contact: Stan Grot- stanleytgrot@gmail.com

A Little Chicken

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conservative Intel is excited to announce we have partnered with Pat Cross Cartoons!

Pat loves drawing, America, and the Big Man upstairs. His work aims to combine these three elements into a petri dish and see what happens. We hope you will find his work thought-provoking, insightful, profound and maybe, just maybe, a bit humorous.

We encourage you to visit his website and like his Facebook page!

Conservative Speaker of the House Leonard Shows Leadership in Opposition to Sanctuary Cities

On April 3rd, Lansing City Council voted unanimously to designate Lansing as a sanctuary city. Now, just nine days later, a 5-2 vote at Wednesday’s city council meeting rescinded that status. The Lansing Regional Chamber and Michigan Chamber of Commerce played a pivotal role in achieving this reversal by writing a letter to council members articulating their concerns. The letter focused on the fact that it “placed an unnecessary target on the City of Lansing while jeopardizing millions of dollars in federal funding that impacts the city budget.”

Speaker of the House Tom Leonard, R-Dewitt has taken a strong stance against the term sanctuary city being used in the resolution since it was passed last week. He asserted this was not an issue the residents of Lansing elected them to focus on, especially in the wake of things like crumbling infrastructure and debt impacting their community.

In a statement released by his office, Speaker Leonard took things a step further, not only calling them out for passing a resolution that wasted the city’s time and resources, but potentially endangering the well-being of the community.

“Instead of solving problems or watching over the city and protecting its citizens, the council chose to ignore the law and call this community a safe haven for criminals. That is not right, and the people of Lansing deserve better. I am glad to see the council now realizes this, too.”

Speaker Leonard praised the Lansing Regional Chamber and the Michigan Chamber of Commerce for urging the city to focus on the issues that matter most to Lansing Residents.

“Now is the time for our local officials to stop playing politics and start focusing on the many items on their agenda that will actually help people and that will build Lansing into an even better and safer place to live, work and raise a family.”

Republican Illinois Governor more popular than ever in blue state

Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner is on a roll as his numbers increased dramatically in the most Morning Consult poll from April that gauged the polling numbers of Governors in all 50 states.

Bruce Rauner, the Republican governor of liberal stronghold Illinois, had a substantial bump in approval rating of almost 10 points since September. His disapproval rating also dropped 5 points, showing undeniable proof that Rauner on the right path for re-election in 2018.

“Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) has improved his standing in traditionally blue Illinois. Forty-two percent of Illinoisans now approve of Rauner, up from 33 percent in September, while his disapproval rating has dropped from 56 percent to 49 percent over the same time period.”

https://morningconsult.com/governor-rankings-april-2017/

Rauner took the office in 2015, the first Republican to do so since 1998. As one might expect, Rauner has faced significant criticism from the liberal bastion that is Chicago. Rauner won every county except for Chicago’s Cook county, and the Chicago liberal media has been quick to blame Rauner for any problems the state has, but voters are seeing the progress he has made in turning the state around.  

Meanwhile, the Democrat candidates seem to be at war in Illinois.  Most recently, the billionaire heir of the Hyatt Hotel fortune went so far as to distance himself from his family’s hotel chain as their policies towards workers is giving him fits among union workers.  Early reports on the campaign trail indicate his status in the race may be short lived as is facing very stiff competition from Chris Kennedy of the Kennedy clan.